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Gordon partners with Mideast city of Dubai. Typical of Gordon building sand
castles. Here today, gone when the truth rushes in. |
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Phoenix Mayor Phil Gordon signs
Dubai agreement with the United Arab Emirates port of Dubai.
Turns out Dubai
was a
giant Ponzi s cam.
Gordon with no
economic
development or
investment
experience was
easily duped!
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The Burj Dubai, the tallest building in the world, shines in Dubai, United Arab
Emirates, but is similar to "The Emperor has no Clothes" below because the
building is an empty shell with miles of office space it can't rent and is now
closed.
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The ASU downtown Phoenix campus above is a classic example of Gordon with his
desert mirage of "Instant Gratification" projects for downtown Phoenix.
How many students can you find?
Phoenix taxpayers paid $220,000,000 for the downtown Phoenix campus and
$35,000,00 for a tiny park for ASU for a total of $255,000,000.
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Because of the
state of the Valley's office space market, a large, neon
"Vacancy" sign will be placed on the roof of the nearly
completed Phoenix CityScape.
The building is scheduled to open in March. Three months
ago, it lost planned anchor tenant Wachovia Bank. Office
space vacancy is expected to reach 24 percent in the Valley
this year, according to a June Associated Press article.
"It's pushing towards 70 percent leased," claims CityScape.
It is all about manipulating numbers. The project has been
downsizing by deleting one thousand condo units and a hotel.
Not even
$120,000,000 from City of Phoenix taxpayers will help this
project achieve success.
Now,
Mayor Gordon and Councilman
Michael
Nowakowski are pushing through a 2% food
sales tax on Phoenicians to raise more money to give to
developers as incentives for downtown Phoenix development.
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"The Emperor's New Clothes"
is a fable about the pitfalls of political self-aggrandizement and the fear of
people to face reality even when they know the reality of the situation is
untrue.
A story by Hans Christian Andersen: An emperor hires two tailors who promise to
make him a set of remarkable new clothes that will be invisible to anyone who is
either incompetent or stupid. When the emperor goes to see his new clothes, he
sees nothing at all — for the tailors are swindlers and there aren't any
clothes. Afraid of being judged incompetent or stupid, the emperor pretends to
be delighted with the new clothes and “wears” them in a grand parade through the
town. Everyone else also pretends to see them, until a child yells out, “The
Emperor has no clothes!”
The emperor is
tricked by private contractors to spend people's money on a non-existent "fabric
of dreams." The parable ends with a lesson we should be honest instead of
blindly following the irrational, ego centric positions of misguided leaders.
The "leader" may include a government leader where the "chief official" is
obviously misinformed.
It took the
honesty and innocent practicality of a child to point out the reality of what
was going on because all of the people in high positions, as well as the general
population, refused to admit the truth about the obvious false situation in
which they found themselves.
People who point
out the emptiness of the pretensions of powerful people and institutions are
often compared to the child who says the Emperor has no clothes.
The Mayor and the
Sheikh
have no clothes!
Similar to the "Emperor has no Clothes" of the famous fable which
certainly is applicable in Phoenix and Dubai. |
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The Mirage in the Desert:
Gordon's Downtown Phoenix and Gordon's Folly with Dubai
What do
Downtown Phoenix and
Sand Castles in
Dubai have in
Common? Both are
dismal failures and
each is what Gordon
leaves behind.
The
series:
Gordon
Partners with Dubai 20 Days Ago,
Gone Today
PHOENIX
(By
Jon Garrido, The Jon Garrido Network) February 22, 2010 —
The first mirage in the desert comes to
a predictable end. Dubai's desert dream
turns out to be a huge scam.
Phoenix development such as the downtown
ASU campus is also a mirage and has
already blown away squandered
opportunities resulting in not enough
revenue to maintain a large city.
Dubai and the City of Phoenix were two
large cities on a parallel course driven
to nothing more than a mirage or by a
clever scam.
The Mirage in the Desert:
the
Sting begins to take Shape in Dubai
A man in a
hurry, Sheikh Mohammed created rival building arms and
investment managers and spurred them to compete with each
other for land and capital. At one point he had at least
three private-equity operations going at once under his
aegis. These units invested heavily outside of Dubai at the
top of the market, using borrowed money. Banks, too, bought
into the Sheikh's vision, or at least wanted to be included
in the charmed circle.
The boom years of
the early 21st
century were good
for many people, but
perhaps no one
enjoyed them more
than Sheikh Mohammed
bin Rashid al
Maktoum, the ruler
of Dubai. Stripped
to its essentials,
Dubai is a
sweltering strip of
sand blessed with a
natural harbor known
as the creek, which
has been an entrepot
for merchants and
smugglers for
centuries. Building
on his father's
vision, Sheikh
Mohammed turned
Dubai into a 21st
Century boomtown,
luring western
financiers and
tourists with
gleaming steel and
glass towers, vast
beaches, and green
golf resorts.
Dubai is a clever blend of audacity and
architecture, a shiny monument to the egos and ambition that
turned a tiny emirate into a Middle East financial giant.
Russian oligarchs stroll along man-made islands shaped like palm
trees, and sheiks race down a ski slope built inside a shopping
mall.
Cranes like countless arms moved across a skyline that grew more
crowded by the day, if not the hour. The world's tallest
building went up, highways looped through the desert, the
airport never closed. Dubai expanded into a commerce crossroads
for Asia, Europe and America, a place of cigar salons, horse
races, a seven-star hotel and suitcases full of money.
Charmed by Mohammed's personality,
marketing skills and assurances, deposed politicians, oil tycoons,
powerful executives and investors poured in billions and willingly participated in Dubai's real estate bonanza — no
questions asked — as did professionals from Europe and Asia who flocked to the
emirate, paying for condos and villas before building even started.
Lacking the oil reserves of the emirate's neighbors, Dubai's
ruling family created a parallel economic reality fueled by real
estate, international investment and the art of the possible.
The emirate was fashioned into a sleek cityscape of startling
images: Islam balanced against the seduction of Western
capitalism, and tribal traditions brushing the fleeting trends
of globalization.
Sheikh Mohammed
lured investors with
futuristic projects
but now they're left
with $80 billion in
debt, little
confidence in Dubai,
and growing
questions.
When the confidence game came to an end, Sheikh Mohammed
called for a standstill on debt repayments at one of his
most important companies, Dubai World, rocking world markets
and raising huge questions about the future of Dubai.
Dubai was always a confidence game — a momentum play.
Unlike Saudi Arabia or Abu Dhabi, the hugely wealthy emirate
to the West, Sheikh Mohammed had scant oil production to
fuel his grandiose ideas. Instead he sold the world on his
vision of Dubai as a hub for the Middle East, western Asia,
and Africa, attracting investment from his wealthier
neighbors — both Arabs and Iranians — and increasingly, from
the West and Russia.
For a while, it worked. Western bankers, investors, CEOs
and politicians looking for Dubai Investors fell over each
other to book space in his Dubai International Financial
Center, a handsome if somewhat over-the-top real estate
project aimed at being the Wall Street of the Gulf. They
went to Dubai to worship the Sheikh, whom they treated as a
sage.
The politician making the most trips to
pay homage to the Sheikh was Phil
Gordon,
Mayor of the City of Phoenix, Arizona,
who made 4 trips to Dubai in 2008 and 3
trips in 2009, with each trip done with
great fanfare but in truth, each was
nothing more than smoke and mirrors.
Phil Gordon played an important role in
Dubai's sting to show the world Dubai
was able to invest billions around the
world.
Gordon with no economic development or investment
experience was easily duped in believing Dubai would invest
in downtown Phoenix development but in truth — Dubai
needed money and used a giant ponzi scheme similar to
Bernard Madoff who duped thousands using
an
illegal pyramid scheme
to attract money.
That Dubai has a serious problem
was well known
since 2007When the
credit crunch came, Dubai was badly exposed to known debt of
$80 billion to $90 billion, and possibly even more. The
Sheikh and his lieutenants, who had seemed masters at
selling Dubai to the world, suddenly seemed inept.
It almost
seems as if the ruler and those around him were in denial,
not wanting to acknowledge the extent of their troubles —
even to themselves.
In late 2008, Omar bin Sulaiman, the
well-regarded governor of the financial center, was
ousted. Three of the Sheikh's closest advisors were removed
from the board of the Investment Corp. of Dubai, which
manages the government's stakes in some of the big companies
such as Emirates Airlines. These moves may have been
designed to appease critics in Abu Dhabi and Dubai's own
worried merchant community.
In another
sign of stress, last year the ruler appointed a
frank-speaking young finance minister, Nasser al Shaikh, who
tried to force some of Dubai's big companies to sort out
their problems. He was promptly fired.
This all came
to a head on
Nov. 25, 2009,
when Dubai
rocked world
markets by
announcing it
would seek a
standstill on
debt repayments
of ports
operator and
real estate
developer Dubai
World, the most
troubled of
state-controlled
Dubai Inc.
companies. The
timing was
horrendous,
coming on the
eve of an
Islamic holiday,
as well as
U.S.
Thanksgiving.
Worried
investors — who
only recently
had begun
putting new
money into Dubai
on the
presumption
the worst was
over — scrambled
for information.
Little was
forthcoming.
Reporters raced
around the city,
chasing press
conferences that
were never held.
It looks more
like a combination of a lack of awareness and denial, which
may well be making things worse than they need to be for
Dubai and its ruler.
The
Mirage disappears
into the sand
Taking advantage of cheap credit, developers — some run by the government and
other's closely linked to it — built soaring skyscrapers and luxury residential
compounds on man-made islands at a pace that outstripped real demand. Despite
oversupply, real estate prices soared, in a mirror image of what happened in the
United States before the subprime mortgage crisis sent the world into its worst
recession in over six decades.
When the global financial crisis hit Dubai, prices collapsed by 50 percent in a
year while the cheap funding dried up, meaning other projects either sat
unfinished or were scrapped.
Apartment and office prices began tumbling across the Emirates
as early as 2008. An
estimated 400 building and real estate projects valued at $300
billion reportedly were put on hold throughout the country.
Now, as the emirate's largest government-owned conglomerate, Dubai World, reels
under the weight of its $60 billion in debts, Mohammed has retreated from the
limelight.
Given how intertwined Dubai is with its ruler and members of the Maktoum
dynasty, the fallout could create trouble for Mohammed, who must depend on hope the neighboring emirate of Abu Dhabi will step in with some sort of bailout
as it did but not
enough that creditors will see they have little choice but to agree to restructuring
debt.
"It will be very difficult for Sheik Mohammed to survive this one," said
Christopher Davidson, an expert in Gulf affairs at Britain's Durham University
and author of two books on the Emirates. He said Mohammed misled investors by
giving them the impression he had money to back his plans.
The global recession has left Dubai with miles of office space
it can't rent and reams of contracts it can't honor. Thousands
of foreign engineers, architects, bankers and laborers have been
sent home. Like everything else that has epitomized Dubai for
the last decade, even its debt is staggering: An estimated $80
billion, with nearly $60 billion of it held by Dubai World, a
conglomerate of a number of state-controlled businesses.
News that Dubai wanted to suspend payments on its debt shook
worldwide financial markets. S&P citing worries about
Emirate's willingness to back the companies' debt,
on Dec. 3, 2009,
Dubai company ratings
were cut to junk.
Dubai World's problems are a window into those of Dubai, one of seven
semiautonomous city-states that make up the United Arab Emirates. The
conglomerate is Dubai's biggest government-held company and has served as a key
force behind the emirate's growth — an expansion built on access to cheap and
easy credit over the past decade.
But as the global meltdown battered equity markets, dried up credit sources and
sent real estate prices into a free-fall, Dubai lost its momentum and projects
were scrapped or canceled.
Real estate prices in Dubai fell by 50 percent in a year, meaning
developers — many of whom are Dubai-owned — were left holding lavish homes and
properties they could ill afford to sell at a discount and cover their
obligations.
Loose oversight and light bureaucracy allowed
money to flit in and out of banks and investment houses with
little scrutiny. Al Qaeda and the Taliban, along with drug
smugglers and gunrunners, have laundered money in Dubai's
financial institutions, according to U.S. investigators.
Savvy
investors with
required due
diligence did not
include Phil Gordon
The debt crisis facing the Dubai investment fund rattled
investors beginning in 2008, raising doubts about
the vitality of emerging economies. Investors, however, said
as early as 2007, they had anticipated the deterioration of the country’s real
estate bubble.
Obviously this cadre of savvy investors
doing due diligence did
not include Phil Gordon for Gordon made 4 trips to Dubai in 2008
and 3 trips in 2009 with each trip done with great
fanfare but in actuality each was a show of smoke and mirrors.
After each Dubai
trip, Gordon
presented pictorial
and verbal essays to
local chamber of
commerce groups
flaunting success
after success of his
triumphs in
promoting downtown
Phoenix for
investment.
All turn out to be a
grand charade of
ridiculous
pretense and
absurdly false.
The real truth is as
Gordon wined and
dined in Dubai only
believing what he
wanted to believe,
some savvy investors
were doing due
diligence and
spreadsheet
investment analysis
which gave them
doubts about Dubai's
sustainability.
Not only does Gordon
have no vision, he
lacks the skills
required of a mayor.
Emerging markets have
often seemed more vulnerable because their financial markets are
not as deep and sophisticated as those in the West.
While that notion was proved wrong during the financial crisis,
investors are still skittish about the developing world’s
ability to handle a crisis. They need look no further than
Bangkok (where Gordon now wants to visit, where a seemingly contained financial panic spiraled
into a regional crisis more than a decade ago.
There is a fear that Dubai’s problems could rattle emerging
market banks and financial institutions that have lent the
emirate money.
During the boom, Dubai World and other fast-growing companies
from the emirate invested heavily in companies and projects
across Asia, building ports in India and Pakistan and taking
stakes in Chinese banks. There is a fear that those projects and
firms could suffer if Dubai authorities are forced to sell some
of their holdings or put off investments to raise cash to repay
their large debts.
A Sacrilegious Financial Mirage in the Desert
The investments were supposed to be blessed, and the bankers
were desperately looking for more people to bless them.
Andrew Ross Sorkin
wrote in his article
in The New York
Times’ Web site, "I was in Dubai
in 2007 to cover an
investment conference at a hotel along Jumeirah Beach. Hundreds
of Western bankers bone up on the intricacies of the next
new thing in financial products: Shariah-compliant investments.
They wanted to sell them to wealthy, oil-rich Muslim investors
who needed a way to increase their fortunes but whose options
were limited. Any investment vehicle needed to conform to the
spirit of the Koran, which forbids any investments that pay
interest. No mortgages. No bonds. No clever derivatives. Just
tangible assets in the so-called real economy.
It was a big
money pot — worth as much as $1
trillion that could yield billions in fees — and the
bankers were determined to find a way in."
Phil Gordon traveled
back and forth to
Dubai wanting to tap
into the big money
pot. If Dubai
was in need of investments, then the only thing Gordon got was
duped and played as part of smoke and mirrors to give the
illusion Dubai had money to invest in other markets.
One discussion was led by a British banker from Barclays who had
moved to the region to create an entire Shariah-compliance team.
He shared tips about various ways to create “structured
products” that would pass muster with Muslim investors. Sorkin
wrote, "To me,
the investments looked like bonds, walked like bonds and talked
like bonds — but he never called them that. The
bonds that Dubai World is in jeopardy of defaulting on, by the
way, are Shariah-compliant sukuk. Just don’t call them bonds."
The Sheikh was struggling to hire enough Shariah scholars, and
he needed them to literally bless the investments —
apparently there was a shortage of properly trained Islamic
scholars who did this kind of work.
With the benefit of hindsight — and you didn’t need
much — there were plenty of other signs back then
Dubai was building a financial mirage in the desert.
For the last couple of years, the running joke on Wall Street
was “Dubai, Mumbai, Shanghai or Goodbye.” If you were the C.E.O.
of a troubled investment bank desperately looking for cash, you
made a pilgrimage to one of those three cities with hat in hand.
They were the places most likely to write a quick billion-dollar
check; their eagerness should have also been a tip-off. Now you
have to wonder about Mumbai and Shanghai, too. Are they next in
line to take a fall?
With all the money pouring into the region, it would have been
hard for any doomsday types to make themselves heard. But there
were whispers here and there, pointing out the obvious. David
Rubenstein, the co-founder of the private equity giant Carlyle
Group who was in Dubai at the conference, remarked to Sorkin at the
time: “You know, they don’t have any oil here.”
That fact was overlooked by many investors who didn’t want to
miss out on a quick buck. What about the risk?
The Shariah Committee of the Accounting and Auditing
Organization for Islamic Institutions, which is based in
Bahrain, ended up changing the rules to make them stricter
because of widespread abuse. As Mr. Buiter described them on his
blog, “these were window-dressing pseudo-Islamic financial
instruments that were mathematically equivalent to conventional
debt and mortgage contracts.”
Blessings, alas, can only do so much.
Nero Fiddles
while Rome Burns
Now as Gordon plays the
lyre while Rome burns,
Phoenix seniors loose their senior centers, library patrons
loose access to public libraries, mothers have to pay 2%
more for their food to feed their children,
swimming pools and after-school programs
have closed, buses run less frequently with tickets costing
more, recreational and cultural points of pride have taken a
hit as well. Half of the softball leagues and swim teams
have been shelved. Fewer employees are staffing the Japanese
Friendship Garden and Irish Cultural Center.
The list is endless!
Gordon now wants
to fly to Asia on
another junket paid
for from taxes
received from City
of Phoenix taxpayers
paying a new 2% tax
on food being
promoted by Gordon
and
Nowakowski.
When will this madness end? Hopefully Gordon will resign
to run for Congress so
Nowakowski
can finish Gordon's term as mayor.
Anything
is better than
Gordon, even Nowakowski who
like Gordon has no
economic development or investment experience, nor any clue
on providing leadership and vision for what is needed to
take Phoenix to a much higher level of becoming a world
class destination city, but at least, Nowakowski is not as
conniving as Gordon.
Phoenix desperately needs leadership.
Instant gratification
is the driving force in
Downtown Phoenix Development
Albert Einstein once said, "The definition of
stupid is doing the same thing over and over and expecting
different results. But they usually are so entrenched in their
archaic beliefs that no amount of logic, commonsense or
intelligent thought will sway them. More often than not, I give
up with a feeling that some people are born stupid, some people
achieve stupidity, and some people have stupidity thrust upon
them. What bothers me most is when they try to spread their
stupidity to others."
Mayor Phil Gordon
recently said, "Arizona State University's and
the University of
Arizona's downtown
Phoenix campuses are
a crucial part of
the city's future."
Gordon neglected to
name Phoenix
CityScape which is
understandable
because Gordon only
gave Phoenix
CityScape a paltry
$120,000,000.
Einstein's
definition of Gordon
is a perfect
description of
Gordon's instant
gratification
concept of
development for
downtown Phoenix.
With over a
$1,000,000,000 in
Phoenix taxpayer
money squandered in
downtown projects,
none of the $1
Billion has produced
any revenue for the
City of Phoenix
forcing Phoenix to
now levy new taxes
on low and moderate
income persons to
pay for Phoenix
programs and
services. A new tax
on food is
absolutely
unforgivable.
Gordon is a dismal
failure as the Mayor
of Phoenix.
An new economic
development staff
with tourism
experience in
planning and
development needs to
replace
every Phoenix staff
person involved with
economic
development.
Meanwhile
Phoenix braces for more cuts to services
Phoenix residents are encountering
closed public libraries, swimming pools and after-school
and senior centers.
While garbage trucks are still rolling through the city each
week and firefighters still show up within minutes of a 911
call, Phoenix leaders and residents say they are seeing a
gradual erosion of services that is expected to worsen in the
coming year.
Over the past seven years, Phoenix has cut $360 million from its
$1 billion-plus general-fund budget, which pays for most city
services. About $156 million worth of service cuts were
implemented this year.
But the dozens of cuts made last spring already are taking a
toll on the city's nearly 1.6 million residents, many of whom
are relying on city services now more than ever.
Now buses
are running less frequently
and riders are
paying more for a
ride.
Phoenix's recreational and cultural points of pride
have taken a hit as
well. Half of the
softball leagues and
swim teams have been
shelved.
The city's balance sheet is so out of whack
because Phoenix's
sales-tax revenue
remains about 20
percent lower than
two years ago. State-shared income-tax
revenue is forecast to be about 35 percent less than two years
ago because of layoffs, pay cuts and furloughs. And the
cash-starved Arizona Legislature is poised to take a big chunk
of Phoenix's $378 million-a-year state-shared-revenue fund to
solve its own fiscal problems.
Phoenix's
budget
troubles came into sharper focus
City Manager David Cavazos
proposed a plan that would help close Phoenix's $242 million
deficit, balancing the general-fund budget through
fiscal
year 2011.
Cavazos'
proposal would eliminate 1,379
of the city's 16,000 positions,
though a third of the targeted
positions are vacant.
Six of the city's 15
library branches, five of its senior centers and numerous sports
complexes and community centers would be shuttered. Funding for
the arts and after-school programs would be slashed. And bus
routes and light-rail hours would be reduced.
The proposed cuts come just a year after city
leaders slashed $156 million in programs and services to help
close a record $270 million deficit.
Public-transit users would be hit especially
hard. Proposals include cuts to dial-a-ride, a program mostly
used by seniors and the disabled, as well as eliminating and
reducing the frequency of bus routes.
Separately, the city could cut its share of
funding to light rail by more than $1 million, canceling
late-night weekend service and increasing wait times during some
weekday hours.
Phoenix's sales- and income-tax collections are
expected to decline for a third year in a row this fiscal year,
leaving the budget out of balance. And city sales-tax revenue
will be less than what was collected in fiscal 2005.
The proposals, however, are far from final. A
food tax being eyed by the City Council could generate an extra
$50 million a year and eliminate some cuts. So could furloughs
and other concessions from the seven employee unions now in
contract negotiations with the city.
Residents will have an opportunity to voice
their concerns about the budget during 15 public hearings throughout the city. The council will vote on a revised budget on March 2, with
cuts set to take effect in April.
Some content from Business Week, AP,
Wire Services, Wall Street Journal,
Time, London Times, Economist, International Herald
Tribune and Le Monde.
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