Obama's decision was largely
a political gesture to win
Republican support for
immigration reform.
Although some have welcomed
the move, critics such as
Senators John McCain and Jon
Kyl complain 1,200 troops
will not make a difference.
These skeptics are right. A
couple of thousand more
boots on the ground will
barely affect the situation
on the border.
Moreover, Mexicans will
rightly be wary. Obama risks
being seen as militarizing
the border instead of taking
measures the international
community has long called
for, such as placing further
emphasis on drug reduction,
renewing the expired ban on
assault weapons or ratifying
the Inter-American
Convention Against the
Illicit Manufacturing of and
Trafficking in Firearms. In
fact, reluctance to
"militarize" the border was
a main reason Pentagon
officials disagreed with
Homeland Security
counterparts over the
functions of troops that
might be deployed.
The big question is: Would
many more troops make a
difference? The Bush
administration sent 6,000
National Guard members to
the border in 2006 under
Operation Jump Start. Their
two-year mission was to
offer support ― mainly
logistical ― to law
enforcement; presumably,
this will also be the
mission of those Obama is
deploying.
Then, as now, the impetus
was a political need related
to the debate on immigration
reform. Overall smuggling of
drugs and people did not
diminish, and immigration
law has yet to be reformed.
Even in the best-case
scenario, the National Guard
can act only as a stopgap,
as at least one Bush
administration official, now
safely out of office, has
admitted. The United States
does not need more border
enforcement but smarter
border enforcement. The real
threat to U.S. security
along America's southern
edge comes from organized
crime rings, not masses of
immigrants, even illegal
ones. Illegal immigration
rates have declined for
several years, partly
because of the recession but
also because border
enforcement has been
improving. For example,
there are more than 20,000
Border Patrol agents, an 80
percent increase since 2004
and an all-time high in that
agency's history. Spending
on surveillance technologies
has also facilitated better
monitoring of the border.
Yet even as border
patrolling has improved, the
power of criminal
organizations has grown.
Crime rates in border cities
are not skyrocketing as some
claim, but high-profile
incidents, such as striking
murders and clashes with law
enforcement, are on the
rise, along with attempts to
corrupt U.S. officials. The
most dangerous groups are
the most sophisticated ones,
and they know how to avoid
enforcement hot spots.
Physical acts, such as
installing fences or
increasing patrols, will not
do much to affect drug
violence, drug smuggling,
drug-related corruption of
public officials or the
myriad other ills drug
trafficking visits on a
population.
What is needed along the
border is a coordinated
strategy among federal
agencies and foreign
governments, not incremental
acts and feel-good
deployments. Such a broad
strategy would focus on
reducing criminal groups'
ability to violently contest
state authority, both by
diminishing the sources of
their proceeds (drugs) and
their social base (through a
mix of regional law
enforcement and social
programs). It would expand
beyond borders and would
include most countries in
the region to counter
"balloon effects," the
relocation of illicit
activity from one area to
another. Its ultimate goal
would be to ensure that
illicit trades do not upset
stability in areas of
interest to U.S. security,
be they regions in Mexico or
in Arizona.
In the meantime, questions
about the troop deployment
remain to be answered: What
states will they come from?
How will they be
distributed? How will the
government ensure the
National Guard counters
criminals but does not deal
directly with immigrants, as
the White House has
promised?
Without a broader strategy,
sending troops to the border
smells of mission creep.
Given the situation today,
if the government continues
deploying units, there is no
saying what might bring them
back.
Jennifer Bernal-Garcia is
with the
Center for a New American
Security in Washington.