WASHINGTON & SANTA
FE, NM (By Jeff
Zeleny and Dalia
Sussman, NYT)
January 19, 2012
— President Obama
opens his
re-election bid
facing significant
obstacles among
independent voters,
according to the
latest New York
Times/CBS News poll,
with the critical
piece of the
electorate that
cemented his victory
four years ago open
to denying him a
second term.
As Mr. Obama moves
toward a
full-throated
campaign, delivering
a State of the Union
address on Tuesday
and inching closer
to directly
confronting his
Republican
challenger, a
majority of
independent voters
have soured on his
presidency,
disapprove of how he
has dealt with the
economy and do not
have a clear idea of
what he hopes to
accomplish if
re-elected.
The swing voters who
will play a pivotal
role in determining
his political fate
are up for grabs,
the poll found, with
just 31 percent
expressing a
favorable opinion of
Mr. Obama.
Two-thirds of
independent voters
say he has not made
real progress fixing
the economy.
The president,
mindful of the
headwinds facing
him, begins his
first major
television
advertising campaign
on Thursday in a
handful of
battleground states.
His targets include
independent voters,
who the poll found
also hold deep
skepticism of
Republicans.
While Republican
primary voters say
Mitt Romney stands
the best chance of
defeating Mr. Obama,
nearly half of
independents say
they have yet to
form an opinion of
him, creating a
considerable opening
for Democrats to try
to quickly define
him if he becomes
the nominee.
As Mr. Romney and
his rivals fight to
win the South
Carolina primary on
Saturday, the poll
suggests
Republicans have
grown less satisfied
with their choices.
Nearly 7 in 10
Republican voters
across the country
said they now want
more options, a
probable reflection
of conservative
unease about Mr.
Romney and the
remaining
candidates.
But with 10 months
remaining until
Election Day and the
lines of argument
coming into view,
voters are evenly
divided in a matchup
between Mr. Obama
and Mr. Romney. The
president does
better against the
other Republican
candidates.
A glimmer of hope
may be on the
horizon for Mr.
Obama, though, as
the economy appears
to be generating
more jobs. The poll
found 28 percent of
the public says the
economy is getting
better, which is the
biggest sense of
optimism found in a
Times/CBS News poll
since last February.
But Mr. Obama, whose
job approval rating
remains essentially
frozen in the 40s,
has considerable
work to do
rebuilding the
coalition of voters
who sent him to the
White House.
Independent voters
have concerns about
Mr. Obama on a
variety of measures,
including 6 in 10
who say the
president does not
share their
priorities for the
country.
“I trusted Obama
would bring fresh
ideas to the country
and improve the
economy, even though
he was not
experienced. It
didn’t happen,” said
Jay Hernandez, 54, a
credit manager from
Miami who said he is
not aligned with
either party, in a
follow-up interview.
“If there were
another Democratic
candidate I might
reconsider, but I
won’t vote for
Barack Obama.”
With the president
preparing to address
a joint session of
Congress next week,
which will also be
an opportunity to
outline his
accomplishments to
the nation, the poll
found 38 percent of
all voters view him
favorably, 45
percent unfavorably,
and 17 percent have
no opinion. The
speech will be a
chance to draw
further distinctions
with Congress, whose
approval rating
remains near record
lows of 13 percent.
When asked whom they
trust, the poll
found Mr. Obama has
an advantage over
Congressional
Republicans in
making the right
decisions about
creating jobs,
health care,
Medicare and Social
Security. Yet the
gap narrows on the
economy — the chief
concern among voters
— with 44 percent of
Americans saying
they trust Mr. Obama
and 40 percent
saying they trust
Republicans in
Congress.
The public is evenly
split on who they
trust to deal with
the budget deficit,
which the poll found
to be the public’s
second most
important issue.
But Americans are
also far more apt to
blame Republicans
than the president
for failing to find
common ground and
passing legislation.
An overwhelming
number of Americans
support compromise
over sticking to
positions. A
majority of people
say Mr. Obama is
trying to work with
Republicans in order
to get things done,
while two-thirds say
Republicans in
Congress are not
trying to work with
Mr. Obama.
“I’m not saying
Obama hasn’t done
anything good, and
maybe it’s not fair
to blame him or the
administration, but
I just think there
were more
expectations for an
improvement on
economic issues,”
said Elaine Vignali,
60, a homemaker and
independent voter
from Uniontown, Pa.
She added she was
deeply frustrated,
declaring: “To be
honest, if I had to
vote today I
wouldn’t vote.”
While the
re-election effort
for Mr. Obama has
been under way for
nearly a year in his
Chicago headquarters
and in battleground
states, the campaign
is on the cusp of
breaking into
clearer view. The
president intends to
increase his travel
to swing states,
aides said, and
reach out more to
independent voters
through advertising
and personal visits.
In 2008, Mr. Obama
won 52 percent of
independent voters,
compared with 44
percent for Senator
John McCain. The top
objective of the
president’s
campaign, aides
said, is to raise
his standing among
those voters.
For months, the
Republican
presidential race
has drawn the lion’s
share of the
spotlight, with
frequent televised
debates, along with
the Iowa caucuses
and the New
Hampshire primary.
Yet the poll found
enthusiasm among
Republicans has
waned. In September,
45 percent of
Republican primary
voters said they
were more
enthusiastic this
year than in
previous elections,
but now only 38
percent say so.
When asked which
candidate most
represented the
values to try to
live by, 25 percent
replied Rick
Santorum and 20
percent chose Mr.
Romney. When asked
which candidate
could be trusted
most to deal with
the economy and
unemployment, Mr.
Romney and Newt
Gingrich were
divided nearly
equally.
A national snapshot
of Republican
primary voters found
Mr. Romney had the
support of 28
percent, with Mr.
Gingrich at 21, Mr.
Santorum at 16,
Representative Ron
Paul of Texas at 15
and Gov. Rick Perry
of Texas at 7
percent.
Mr. Romney and Mr.
Gingrich are locked
in an increasingly
testy battle in
South Carolina,
where another
nationally televised
debate will take
place on Thursday
evening. Some
Republican voters
who responded to the
poll said they were
eager to win back
the White House, but
frustrated by the
tenor of the
discussion.
“The problem right
now is everybody
wants to beat Obama
and they aren’t
talking about what
they would do in the
White House,” said
Jane Deike, 69, a
retiree from Detroit
Lakes, Minn., in a
follow-up interview.
“It seems like all
they want to do is
slam one another
instead of getting
to the point where
they talk about what
has to be done.”










