WASHINGTON
(By
Jody Agius Vallejo, Politico)
May 28, 2010
―
Conventional wisdom holds Arizona’s
controversial immigration law has
upended any chance of comprehensive
immigration reform this year.
National polls show the law, which
allows Arizona authorities to
investigate a person’s immigration
status, attracts solid majority
support. Activists and politicians
in at least four other states want
to pass similar laws.
In such an anti-immigrant climate,
talk of pathways to citizenship for
the country’s estimated 11 million
undocumented immigrants would seem
politically suicidal.
But there is a reason for Washington
politicians not to duck and run.
Research into the effects of the
1986 Immigration Control and Reform
Act reveals an emerging benefit: The
adult children of immigrant fathers,
who were legalized or became
citizens, speak better English, have
higher levels of education, hold
better jobs and earn more money than
the offspring of fathers who
remained unauthorized. That benefit
has important implications for the
future of the U.S. economy.
Contrary to popular belief, the
future growth of the Hispanic
population, the nation’s largest
minority group, will most likely not
be driven by escalating migration
rates across the U.S.-Mexico border.
Undocumented immigration, in
particular, has waned because of the
recession and beefed-up border
security.
As an unintended consequence,
immigrant families have tended to
settle in the United States rather
than periodically return to their
native countries, as they did in the
past. Because these households
include proportionately more women
of childbearing age, future Hispanic
population growth will come from
their children and grandchildren.
These U.S.-born Hispanics will make
up a quarter of labor-force growth
in the next two decades, according
to demographer Jeffrey Passel of the
Pew Hispanic Center. Their level of
educational achievement will be
crucial to their economic success in
an increasingly information-based
economy.
The recent research shows children
of immigrants will more likely
attain them if their unauthorized
parents are given an opportunity to
legalize their status.
Researchers at the University of
California Irvine and the University
of California Los Angeles surveyed
adult children (ages 20 to 40) of
Asian and Hispanic immigrants living
in Los Angeles. Because Mexicans
constituted the vast majority of
immigrants, legal and undocumented,
in the country during the 1980s, the
2006 survey — known as Immigration
and Intergenerational Mobility in
Metropolitan Los Angeles — focused
on the experiences of their
offspring.
Adult children whose immigrant
parents entered the United States
legally or took a pathway to
citizenship under the 1986 Act spoke
English better and in more settings,
more likely completed high school
and graduated from college and
landed higher-paying jobs than those
whose fathers remained unauthorized.
Specifically, the offspring of
unauthorized fathers who were
legalized or became citizens were 25
percent less likely to drop out of
high school and 70 percent more
likely to earn a college degree. And
they earned 30 percent more money
than those whose fathers lacked
legal status.
Research done on the Mexican-origin
middle class in this country also
shows the legalization opportunities
in the 1986 Act translated into
future educational and economic
benefits. As in the L.A. survey, the
now-middle-class offspring of
legalized parents tended to be
better educated and hold
higher-paying jobs — to be more
solidly middle class — than the
adult children of parents unable to
legalize their status.
This research strongly suggests the
benefits of comprehensive
immigration reform today would
extend to the next generation and
beyond.
We’re not talking small numbers
here. Nearly half the country’s
unauthorized households are couples
with children, and in about 75
percent of them, the children are
U.S. citizens, according to the Pew
Hispanic Center.
Allowing 4 million children — the
Pew estimate for 2008 — to live in
the twilight world of an
undocumented household represents an
enormous waste of human potential.
These children — whose undocumented
parents are more vulnerable to
exploitative working conditions,
earn far less money and are
ever-fearful of being found out —
are less likely to encounter the
educational and job opportunities
that could improve their situations.
This is potentially bad news for the
U.S. economy. The most educated
generation in history, the baby
boomers, will begin retiring next
year. Roughly 1.4 million jobs could
open up annually in the top half of
the labor market, the sociologist
Richard Alba estimates, with whites
filling two-thirds of them.
For the economy to keep growing, a
significant proportion of the
skilled jobs left vacant by retiring
boomers will need to be filled by
minorities. But if a sizable chunk
of the future labor force is under-
or unprepared to do so because their
parents’ undocumented status stunted
their educational development, who’s
going to replace the baby boomers?
Time is not on our side. President
Barack Obama’s deployment of 1,200
National Guard troops to the border
and call for $500 million for
tougher border enforcement plays
into the current anti-immigrant
political climate that hinders the
educational and economic
assimilation of immigrants and their
U.S.-born children. The expected
Republican gains in the midterms
will very likely push comprehensive
reform further down the road.
By not working toward an overhaul of
our immigration laws that includes a
path to citizenship, we may end up
committing economic suicide in the
name of politics.
Jody Agius Vallejo, an assistant
sociology professor at the
University of Southern California,
is writing a book on the
Mexican-origin middle class in the
United States.